2012 will be difficult for the employment of senior

19th October

After the improvement of labor market frameworks in 2011, the coming months are more uncertain, according to APEC. Companies are less likely to plan to recruit executives in the fourth quarter. The barometer of APEC are signs of loss of business confidence.

2011 promises to be a good year for executives with a job market that has "resilient" but uncertainties in 2012, with gloomy economic outlook, according to the quarterly barometer of the Association for the use of frameworks (APEC) on Wednesday. "The year 2011 will be a very good year. It is the certainty, it is behind us, as business investment have been supported," said the executive director of APEC Jacky Chatelain, at a conference the press.

"But at the end of this year there are also elements of uncertainty," he said.Thus, if a significant number of companies plan to hire at least a part in the 4th quarter, a smaller proportion than in the third quarter are in fact some of it. 53% of companies with more than 100 employees plan to recruit at least one frame between October and December, an increase of 4 percentage points year on year. But only 69% of these are certain to do so – against 75% last quarter.

In the third quarter, employment remained strong: 57% of companies with more than one hundred employees, or 3 points from the third quarter of 2010, recruited at least one frame. The job assigned to the Apec also increased by 59% over one year in the third quarter. Nearly 140,000 bids were entrusted to the association. "The engine of growth" was the area of ​​the Council and business services: 100% in the third quarter of 2011, against 73% over the same period of 2010).But since then, signs of loss of business confidence have emerged: in September 21% of companies felt that the economic situation had deteriorated over the past year, against 16% in June

Graduates most affected by this pessimism

This loss of confidence seems to work against graduates, for whom the "hiring intentions are down for the first time in two years," said Pierre Lamblin Director of Education and Research APEC.

In a context "uncertain", companies are looking more frames already trained more operational: 41% of companies planning to hire in Q4 target young graduates, a decline of six points in one year, according to the survey, result of telephone inquiries conducted by the company in September Gn operations, with a panel of 750 firms with over 100 employees, representing the private sector."This is not not a disaster," the proportion was only 22% in late 2008, said Mr. Lamblin. "But the question is: will it last and how long?".

While according to the INSEE, the overall unemployment rate in France could reach 9.2% of the workforce in the fourth quarter, the executive is now much lower, around 3.7 or 3.8%. But the conditions of re-employment of executives have deteriorated from the end of 2008 and the long-term unemployment has increased frames. Today, a third of managers are unemployed for more than 12 months.

GE boss understood the outraged Wall Street

17th October

Confidence will be key to reviving growth in the U.S. economy and soothe the anger that swells around the global financial system, determined by the Director General of General Electric, who said he understood the movement of "outrage" of Wall Street.

Jeff Immelt, who heads the world's leading manufacturer of aircraft engines and electric turbines is also senior adviser to President Obama for employment and the economy.

"Until we have restored confidence, we can not move forward," he said at a conference organized by Thomson Reuters in New York.

He called for exercise of "empathy" with respect to the crowds of protesters occupying Wall Street and parade through the United States last month to denounce the excesses of the financial system, inequality and the economic crisis.

"Unemployment reached 9.1%. Underemployment is even higher, especially among young people without a university degree," he listed. "It is natural to assume that people are angry."

"The only way to solve this particular problem is growth," he said. "If unemployment is falling, people will feel better.If unemployment rises, people will feel even worse, what happens on Wall Street, no matter what the reform of finance. "

Jeff Immelt also commented on the debt crisis in the euro area, which worries financial markets worldwide and has already pushed major banks like Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase to announce layoffs.

"The most likely scenario is that Europe has a low growth for a long time," he said.

Italy facing record funding costs

13th September

Italy has had to make a record performance to place five-year bonds Tuesday, which illustrates again the difficulties faced by Rome to finance to sustainable levels.

The euro briefly fell below $ 1.36 and European stock markets have widened their losses after this operation, before these assets back into positive territory in mid-session.

The hope that China will come to the aid of Italy by investing in debt, a prospect that had supported the market on Monday night and Tuesday morning, gradually dissipated, which weighed on the bond issue.

In all, the Italian Treasury has raised 6.485 billion euros, 3.865 billion of new securities to five years, sold at a yield unprecedented 5.60%.

The coverage ratio of the award to five years rose to 1.279, well below that in the last similar operation, where he had established at 1.93.

The cost of financing which faces Italy took off despite the buybacks of sovereign debt in recent weeks made by the European Central Bank (ECB) to support Italy – a program that has led to the resignation sensational Jürgen Stark Friday.

"A disappointing auction, where the relatively low coverage rate is obtained at an exorbitant cost," said Richard McGuire, technical analyst at Rabobank.

The Italian Minister of Economy, Giulio Tremonti, met last week a Chinese delegation, said on Tuesday a spokesman for the Italian Treasury, which did not however want to comment on the content of the meeting.

These offers came a day after an article published in the Financial Times reported that Italy had asked China to support its debt by buying quantities "significant".

EMERGENCY ACTION

Chinese leaders have repeatedly publicly expressed their support for a Euro mired in difficulties.

But according to the Wall Street Journal citing a source familiar with the matter, it is not certain that the talks between China and Italy lead, pointing out that visits of Chinese delegations in Greece and other countries in the region Euro difficulties had raised hopes for investment from the second world economy that never materialized.

The renewed investor concerns about the difficulties Italy has led to a further widening of the yield spread between Italian and German bonds to 394 basis points.

This level is near the peak of 400 basis points reached in August, just before the European Central Bank does not fly to the rescue of Italy in redemption of government bonds issued by Rome.

On Monday, the CDS to five years in Italy has reached a new high of 505 basis points, up 38 basis points, according to Markit, which tracks the derivatives market.This means it costs EUR 505.0000 to guard against exposure to 10 million Italian sovereign bonds.

Italy has entered the center stage of the debt crisis because of its sluggish growth and its debt of 1,900 billion euros, representing about 120% of the GDP of the country.

Italian MPs are looking into the austerity plan introduced by the government of Silvio Berlusconi plans to reduce the budget to balance of Italy in 2013.

The Italian Senate approved on Wednesday through a vote of confidence in the austerity plan intended to bring 54 billion euros according to the Italian Treasury.

Italian MPs will be asked to vote on Wednesday by a vote on the austerity plan of the Italian government said on Tuesday the prime minister, Silvio Berlusconi.

Herman Van Rompuy, European Council President, said that the implementation of the austerity program was crucial not only for Italy but for the euro area as a whole.

According to economists, the cost of a bailout of the country at once would exhaust all resources in the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF).

The debt issue is back Wall Street

6th September

Wall Street closed down Tuesday for the third straight session, concerns about the debt crisis in the euro area has once again taken an advantage over all other considerations.

The Stock Exchange, closed Monday for Labor Day, but ended above its low of the session.

The market questions the desire of Italy and Greece on the path of austerity, even in Germany voices are heard in protest against the aid given to countries in the area Euro trouble.

The Dow Jones lost 100.96 points (0.90%) to 11,139.30. The S & P 500 drops 8.73 points (0.74%) to 1165.24. The Nasdaq Composite Index gives 6.50 points (0.26%) to 2473.83.

Banks in particular have suffered and KBW index yielded 1.68%.So far only the German Dax and the Nikkei Japanese have sunk.

In terms of statistics, the growth of services sector in the United States has stepped up against all odds in August, ending three successive months of slowdown in the sector.

Sprint has taken legal action because it believes that the transaction will result in higher prices and create a duopoly between AT & T and Verizon Communications.

Sprint lost 4.5%, while AT & T has sold 0.78%. Verizon Communications fell almost 1%.

Bank stocks fall again in Europe

5th September

European banking stocks were again down sharply Monday on the stock market due to lingering concerns of investors about the financial health of banks exposed to the crisis of sovereign debt in the euro area.

Around 9:50, the European banking index gave up 3.03%.

"This is the euro area is still Greece.We tend to underestimate the problem, "said one Paris-based financial analyst who requested anonymity.

"Clearly, I think of Greece, the banks will have to make additional provisions, especially after the statements of recent days as what the trajectory of debt (Greek note) was uncontrollable."

The analyst also noted that U.S. money managers have reduced their investments in European banks.

"Structurally U.S. banks will lend less to European banks as the crisis lasts," said he. "European banks will have to go looking for funding sources for other areas."

Among the largest declines, the German bank Deutsche Bank falling 6.74% to 24.25 euros.In Paris, Societe Generale was down 4.62% to 21.14 euros and BNP Paribas 4.14% to 32.0350 euros.

The action suffers from Deutsche Bank launched two investigations into the bank in Britain and the United States.

According to the Financial Times, the British authorities in the fight against fraud are currently reviewing certain transactions by Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs.

The bank is also part of the list of 17 major international banks covered by the plain of the U.S. federal agency oversight of mortgage loans (Federal Housing Finance Agency) for the role of these institutions in the subprime crisis.

Lagardère lowers its forecast in 2011, weighed down by sport

31st August

Lagardère was forced to significantly revise down its forecast for operating profit for 2011 because of the difficulties encountered by the sports center in the first half.

An adjustment of annual objectives of the media group was expected, with Lagardère early March release a forecast that does not take into account the ongoing sale of its assets in international press whose impact is estimated at 35 million euros for exercise.

The surprise comes from Lagardère Unlimited, the results were significantly lower than expected by the group for the first half, forcing it to revise down further his ambitions for the year to expect a decline in the 5 to 7% of its recurring EBIT before associates (operating profit) media.

Without even considering the sale of its international magazines, the group could achieve a growth "somewhat positive" in operating profit in 2011 due to the underperformance of its sports division as it was previously an increase of about 10%.

"I remain very confident in the fact that sport is an engine of growth for the group in the years to come," said managing partner Arnaud Lagardère, in a conference call."What we have seen, this is not a problem but a problem of strategy execution."

It has set itself the ambition to make the pole a world leader in sport by 2015, investing over one billion euros since its inception, but the smallest of the divisions of the group has never been profitable.

After a blip in 2010, Unlimited had back hair of the beast in the sporting calendar for a more favorable but the division was weighed down by the first half of the items, including a dispute over cricket in India as well as implementation problems that resulted in an overhaul of its management.

IPO CANAL + FRANCE STILL SUSPENDED

The chief financial officer Dominic D'Hinnin said the shortfall was $ 40 million for the first six months, adding that some of the difficulties likely to continue in the second half.

"Sports has really collapsed, and it's not over," said Conor O'Shea, an analyst at Kepler Securities."The only positive is that this activity was considered low enough and at least the other divisions have posted results in line with expectations".

In the first six months of the year, the Media recurring EBIT before associates spring down 6.9% at constant exchange rates to 168 million euros to a total turnover of 3.72 billion euros.

The market was expecting an average of 178 Media recurring EBIT before associates million for a turnover of 3.673 billion euros, according to estimates by six analysts.

The group's performance was supported by the Services division, which owns the chain of newsagents and bookstores Relay, thanks to the sustained level of air traffic.

The publishing division, however, continued to suffer from dwindling sales of "Twilight" vampire saga by Stephenie Meyer successful, but should return to growth in the second half, said Dominic D'Hinnin.

Lagardère Active, which includes including Paris Match and Europe 1, has its share decreased by 3.1% on a comparable turnover excluding international magazines including the assignment to the U.S. was cordoned off for Hearst most end of May.

Asked about the proposed IPO of 20% held by the group in Canal + France, Arnaud Lagardere has confirmed that the current market conditions did not allow for time to consider a resumption of the process, suspended after the Japanese earthquake last March.

Asked if Lagardère could return to the table in discussions with Vivendi holding the remaining 80%, Dominique D'Hinnin said, "we want to sell and that's it."

Before the publication of results, Lagardère has closed up 2.26% to 23.80 euros. Since the beginning of the year, as a sign down nearly 23% while the index of pan-European media has given 14.34%.

Total may sell its exploration and production in France

26th August

Total is about to sell its assets in the exploration and production in France, wrote Friday the Bulletin of the Oil Industry (BIP).

According to the daily newsletter, the fields of oil should be sold in Paris Vermilion Canada, which had resumed in 2010 the assets of Esso and is the first French producer with 46% of oil extracted in the country.

The BIP adds that the deposits Aquitaine, Total would be transferred to Vermilion and French Geopetrol, while the Lacq gas field should also be transferred to Vermilion in 2013.

"The sale transaction is being finalized.But the final disposal will take place before the end of 2012 in accordance with French law the transfer of mining assets, "said the newsletter.

A spokeswoman for Total declined to comment on this information.

French production of 21,000 barrels represented Total oil equivalent per day in 2010, world production of 2.378 million barrels throughout the year.

The daily Les Echos that writes the total in the fall should submit a reorganization of scale of its operations downstream, with a planned merger of its refining and petrochemical industries. The group did not want comment on the report Friday morning.

The G20 will consult on debt crises

7th August

G20 countries have made contact by telephone Sunday morning to discuss the consequences of the debt crisis on both sides of the Atlantic, shaking financial markets and fears of a relapse of Western countries into recession.

After heavy turbulence in global financial markets, which lost 2,500 billion during the past week, European and American leaders find themselves again forced to reassure investors about the ability and determination of countries to reduce their deficits and public debts.

According to South Korea, a conference call Sunday morning brought together financial officials of the G20, which groups the world's major economies, to discuss the situation caused by tension on the debt in the euro area and lower by Standard & Poor's sovereign rating of the United States.

The G7 finance ministers are also expected to contact during the day and it is possible that they broadcast a statement, said a Japanese government source. The most logical would be that the conference takes place before Asian markets open on Monday at 9:00 (0:00 GMT).

The European Central Bank (ECB) will hold a conference call for its Sunday afternoon.Markets expect the ECB to see begin on Monday the purchase of government bonds in Italy and Spain in order to stabilize prices, but the issue divides within the institution in Frankfurt.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy, whose country currently chairs the G7 and G20, spoke Saturday on the phone with British Prime Minister David Cameron.

ITALY

In Washington, an economic adviser to the White House deplored the decision by S & P to degrade the rating of U.S. debt from AAA to AA +, which could ultimately affect all markets by increasing the cost of borrowing and undermining the prospect of sustainable recovery.

Asian allies of the United States, Japan and South Korea have renewed their confidence in U.S. Treasury bills, may lose value.

"There will be no sudden change in our policy of reserve management," said Vice Minister of Finance of South Korea, Choi Jong-ku.Much of the country's foreign exchange reserves, valued at over $ 300 billion, are made up of U.S. bonds.

"No alternative does not provide such stability nor such liquidity," said the South Korean official.

But the immediate concern of financial markets for the debt crisis in the euro area, while interest rates in Italy or Spain jumped to their highest levels in 14 years in recent days.

The absence of repurchase obligations of both countries by the ECB to ease prices has been particularly punished by the markets that have seen the sign of internal divisions harmful.

German officials in the central bank to claim the benefits of the implementation of stringent austerity measures before giving the green light.

Pressed on all sides, the Council President Silvio Berlusconi said Friday evening the implementation of an austerity plan a year ahead of schedule, achieving a balanced budget in Italy in 2013.

WASHINGTON SERMON S & P

One of the dangers feared by economists is to see Italy, the third economy in the euro area and the eighth world economy, private market financing.

Italian public debt reached 1,800 billion euros, or 120% of gross domestic product.

July 21, the countries of the euro area agreed on strengthening the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF) to assist its members in trouble, but decisions must still be translated into action.

In addition, an extension of the crisis in Italy or Spain, after the bailouts granted to Greece, Ireland and Portugal, in the eyes of observers would require a strong increase in lending capacity of EFSF, with time for the 440 billion euros.

Quoted by the weekly Der Spiegel, the German government experts doubt that Italy could be re-floated by the EFSF even if the fund saw its capacity threefold, because the needs of Rome are in their too great.

United States, the lowering of the sovereign rating has been denounced by the Treasury, which held that the rating agency "forgot" 2000 billion in budget savings in its calculations.

Gene Sperling, economic adviser to Barack Obama, quipped on an agency "that starts from a conclusion and then looks for arguments to prove it."

The U.S. president called on members of Congress, who have battled for weeks over the question of raising the debt ceiling, to unite to improve the fiscal situation and stimulate growth.

Rates drop after the Greek aid plan

22nd July

Bond rates to 10 years in Greece fell to 14.208% 15.988% Thursday against the closure. Their level of mid-April. Those of Portugal and Ireland also relax.

Greek bond rates fell Friday in a debt market that breathed, benefiting from the introduction of a bailout of the country also aims to prevent any risk of contagion in the euro area.

At 18:00, the rates of Greece in 10 years fell to 14.208% (15.988% Thursday against the fence), reaching the level of mid-April. 2-year rates fell to 26.304% (32.214% against), yields seen since early June. They moved again to 40% on Thursday morning before the summit. For their part, the 10-year rate fell back from Portugal to 10.506% (against 11.236%) and from Ireland to 11.636% (12.090% against).

The bond market has relaxed Globle Friday, although the announcement of Fitch on the failure of Greece weighed. The rating agency will place Franco-American debt in default part of Greece in the wake of a new European plan to help nearly 160 billion dollars going to save Athens from bankruptcy. "We knew it was going to result from the rating agencies put in default," notes Cyril Regnat, bond strategist at Natixis, while private creditors are the people involved to the tune of 50 billion euros.

Mr. Regnat regrets, however, "yet few details of the private sector. Certain terms must be defined." But "the contents of the plan is more favorable to the debts of the periphery (those of the most fragile, ie) as addressing the risks of contagion.Greece also has more time to repay debt and will receive support to its economy. "The bond market should return to more normal, although the rate of borrowing the most fragile countries remain very high , but away from their record high.

Overall, "the improvement in the securities bonds devices is expected to continue. The potential for lower rates is still significant," they said. They consider possible next standardization of the bond market, but warn that a return to levels much lower rates will take time.

Meanwhile, rates on 10-year bond retreated German and French as well, not undergoing correction that these securities have played their role as a refuge until the Europe Agreement reassure the markets.The German Bund was 2.826% (against 2.876%) and the French OAT at 3.415% (against 3.448%).

Outside the eurozone, the UK Gilt dropped to 3.106% against 3.173%. In the U.S. market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up to 2.980% against 3.014% Thursday evening, and the good relaxed to 30% against 4.312 to 4.277% yesterday. The three-month rate grew at 0.03% against 0.04% on Thursday.

On the interbank market, the three-month Euribor, the main rate in the euro zone rose to 1.611% against 1.608% Thursday and the three-month Libor in dollars remained stable at 0.253%.

Banesto book a net profit down 25% in H1

12th July

The Spanish bank Banesto Retail reported Tuesday a 25% drop in net profit in the first half, due to higher funding costs.

This drop is less than expected, but by 9:45 GMT, Banesto yielded 0.38% in the wake of other Spanish banks on fears of contagion from the debt crisis across the euro area.

"This is total panic in the market, and following the fall in sovereign risk," said Nuria Alvarez, an analyst at Renta 4."The market does not look at the results, and even stress tests do not weigh much."

Majority owned by Santander, Banesto is the first Spanish bank to publish its first half results.

It gives a first indication of the status of an industry plagued by soaring cost of borrowing, while the performance of the Spanish sovereign debt has surpassed the 6.0%, a record since the creation the euro area.

Banesto's net income in the first half stood at 287 million euros, while analysts polled by Reuters on average expected 265 million.

Net banking income stood at 769.4 million euros against 763.5 million euros expected.

The share of debt held by Banesto risk increased to 4.39% of its book debts at the end of June, against 4.15% in late March. This ratio remains below the industry average, which was 6.11% in late March.

The bank also said that he was late in June 82 million of generic provisions – capital reserves made ex ante to cover potential losses – while analysts expected it to have exhausted in the second quarter.