2012 will be difficult for the employment of senior
After the improvement of labor market frameworks in 2011, the coming months are more uncertain, according to APEC. Companies are less likely to plan to recruit executives in the fourth quarter. The barometer of APEC are signs of loss of business confidence.
2011 promises to be a good year for executives with a job market that has "resilient" but uncertainties in 2012, with gloomy economic outlook, according to the quarterly barometer of the Association for the use of frameworks (APEC) on Wednesday. "The year 2011 will be a very good year. It is the certainty, it is behind us, as business investment have been supported," said the executive director of APEC Jacky Chatelain, at a conference the press.
"But at the end of this year there are also elements of uncertainty," he said.Thus, if a significant number of companies plan to hire at least a part in the 4th quarter, a smaller proportion than in the third quarter are in fact some of it. 53% of companies with more than 100 employees plan to recruit at least one frame between October and December, an increase of 4 percentage points year on year. But only 69% of these are certain to do so – against 75% last quarter.
In the third quarter, employment remained strong: 57% of companies with more than one hundred employees, or 3 points from the third quarter of 2010, recruited at least one frame. The job assigned to the Apec also increased by 59% over one year in the third quarter. Nearly 140,000 bids were entrusted to the association. "The engine of growth" was the area of the Council and business services: 100% in the third quarter of 2011, against 73% over the same period of 2010).But since then, signs of loss of business confidence have emerged: in September 21% of companies felt that the economic situation had deteriorated over the past year, against 16% in June
Graduates most affected by this pessimism
This loss of confidence seems to work against graduates, for whom the "hiring intentions are down for the first time in two years," said Pierre Lamblin Director of Education and Research APEC.
In a context "uncertain", companies are looking more frames already trained more operational: 41% of companies planning to hire in Q4 target young graduates, a decline of six points in one year, according to the survey, result of telephone inquiries conducted by the company in September Gn operations, with a panel of 750 firms with over 100 employees, representing the private sector."This is not not a disaster," the proportion was only 22% in late 2008, said Mr. Lamblin. "But the question is: will it last and how long?".
While according to the INSEE, the overall unemployment rate in France could reach 9.2% of the workforce in the fourth quarter, the executive is now much lower, around 3.7 or 3.8%. But the conditions of re-employment of executives have deteriorated from the end of 2008 and the long-term unemployment has increased frames. Today, a third of managers are unemployed for more than 12 months.